is adam wainwright a hall of famer

While these numbers are impressive, they may not be enough to convince voters that Adam Wainwright is a Hall of Famer. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. Information from The Associated Press was used in this report. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. The baseball player is married to Jenny Curry, his starsign is Virgo and he is now 41 years of age. 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds. Despite dealing with shoulder soreness and some rough stretches, Greinke the active leader in JAWS has pitched an AL-high 159.2 innings, though he will probably get overtaken after landing on the COVID-19 IL on Tuesday. His cutter was next, dropping from his 2022 average of 84.3 mph to 80.8 mph, and his curveball decreased from 72.9 mph to 70.2 mph.. I found While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted Adam Wainwright was born on the 30th of August, 1981. Wainwright was between 38 and 40 years old in this stretch. 55 votes, 66 comments. Sorry we could not verify that email address. Your email address will not be published. Be the first one to comment on this story. All Wins Above Replacement and Wins Above Average data comes . Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Flipboard (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window). Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. Adam Wainwright 141-80, 3.23 ERA, 1,547 strikeouts, 124 adjusted ERA 3x All-Star, 2 Gold Gloves, 2 rings Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; he's going to be 36 in a few months and he's logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukees Luis Urias in the fourth inning. Let's take a look at Flaherty. Scherzer and Hernandez are among a group of pitchers at somewhat similar points in their potential Hall of Fame paths; Verlander, Cole Hamels, Zack Greinke, Adam Wainwright and Jon Lester are in . Ive lost track. Still, his 2.60 ERA is his lowest since 2017, and his strikeout rate is a solid 29.8%. Hes got a long ways to go to reach 200 wins (he has 112), but hes already at 2,031 strikeouts. Yadier Molina, though certainly less overwhelming of a candidate than Pujols, is probably going to make it inparticularly with the modern embrace of pitch framing, Molinas defensive reputation has only improved, and his high longevity and peak scores by FanGraphs Wins Above Replacement (which, unlike Baseball Reference, incorporates framing), are well within the normal catcher standards for Cooperstown, even if the rank-and-file voter bestows his candidacy with fewer goat emojis and general fawning than St. Louis does. 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Guerrero was seen walking toward the clubhouse with an athletic trainer in the second inning and was replaced defensively by Rainer Nunez to start the third. His velocity has dropped again, though Wainwright did push it up a little in his second start. Well know more about Jacks Comeback after he makes his first two or three pitching appearances in the Florida game. But what is particularly interesting to examine with regards to Wainwright is that if Wainwright were elected, he would not even be close to the worst starting pitcher in Cooperstown. Its only the normal spring-training grind, building up arm strength, minor inflammation, no reason to think hell have to go on the IL, our trainers feel good about it. After suffering a setback around the trade deadline, he only returned to throwing on August 25; the Mets are holding out hope that the 33-year-old righty can rejoin them by mid-September. DUNEDIN., Fla. Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. left the spring training game against Tampa Bay with right knee discomfort. Jim Bowden (The Athletic) was at Cardinal camp earlier this week and asked president of baseball operations John Mozeliak about Flahertys status. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. 2000-2023 Rogers Media. No Cy's (albeit 4 top 3 finishes). . All rights reserved. Sales unconventional windup seems to leave open the idea of Tommy John surgery or at least a serious injury, but he has averaged 30 starts per season since entering the rotation in 12. But lets see: frequently injured pitcher, already off schedule in spring training, not quite prepared for a full-on pitching test. An error has occurred while trying to update your details. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, by Handedness, Seven Pitchers (and Some More Position Players) Who Have Most Helped Their Hall of Fame Cases in 2021. Hes even seen somewhat of a career resurgence after struggling from 2014-2015, he rebounded to lead the AL in strikeouts in 16. Paul Goldschmidt, first base (49.1 career | 40.6 Peak | 44.9 JAWS, +2.2 JAWS). 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. Strasburg hasnt been a disappointment, but he also hasnt lit the world on fire. At 41-years-old, Adam Wainwright's statistics suggest no signs of slowing down. That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. Chapman notched his 300th save on August 26, but hes had an unimpressive season, walking 16.2% of hitters en route to a 3.68 ERA and 4.16, all career worsts. On one hand, its spring training and a lot of pitchers get pounded early in exhibition games as they prepare for the run-up to the regular season. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Even if he retired now, Verlander has likely done enough to ensure a plaque in Cooperstown. Via his 10 All-Star selections, nine Gold Gloves, two World Series rings, and reputation for handling pitching staffs, Molinas already been anointed presumptive first-ballot honoree status. Adam Wainwright joined Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Uras in the fourth inning Thursday. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. While a Cy Young Award does not guarantee entry, it certainly helps. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. 2/4/18 Super Bowl champs. By what Ill provisionally call R(eliever)-JAWS, hes climbed from 22nd all-time to 15th, which is still well below the standard for the eight enshrined relievers (29.7). The 40-year . Mike Trout, center field (76.2 career | 65.1 Peak | 70.6 JAWS, +0.5 JAWS). Will this happen? Sure there are. Before going down, he made solid progress towards the 200-win and 3,000 strikeout milestones; hes at 184 and 2,653, respectively, the latter thanks to a 30.1% strikeout rate, his best since 2016. We've sent an email with instructions to create a new password. Wainwright is one of 39 pitchers to record at least 180 wins, 2,000 strikeouts and an ERA of 3.40 or lower while making at least 350 starts and throwing at least 2,300 innings. I like that its a round number, but I assure you that this is merely a coincidence. Five years ago, Max Scherzer had no Hall of Fame case. In fairness, the Cardinals are correct in their initial thinking. Adam Wainwright (44.0 career | 35.5 Peak | 39.8 JAWS, +2.1 JAWS). This is a question that has been frequently raised throughout the season as the Cardinals' 'Big Three' (Pujols, Wainwright, Molina) were constantly praised by St. Louis fans. With 273 homers, Goldschmidt could reach 300 by the end of next season, though with 1,539 hits, the 2,000 milestone and real clarity on his fate is probably three seasons away. The wins, strikeouts, ERA and innings were his best since 2014, which appeared to be the last full year of his peak. Hell get some work in between now and then, and hopefully that will get him on track. Perhaps (I would argue this is more likely) a new narrative arc would emergeWainwright, say, grits through physical pain to guide the Cardinals to the 2022 World Series and enters a level of folklore which allows voters to look optimistically upon his borderline statistical case (see: Ortiz, David). Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. Saturday marked the end of an era for the St. Louis Cardinals. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? Thats an average of 174 innings per year. The oldest and wisest twin. That seems to be a pretty good baseline.. Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. Sep 14, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) pitches against the Milwaukee Brewers during the fifth inning at Busch Stadium. Wainwright had won nine of 10 decisions coming in. 156-111, 3.18 ERA, 2,286 strikeouts, 126 adjusted ERA. However, the future Cardinals Hall of Famer is coming off a 2022 season in which he lost velocity, suffered a decline in swing . The good news is that even with a modest 2.6 WAR this year, hes in his seventh-best season and can make tracks towards the third base peak standard (43.1 WAR). Heres hoping this isnt the start of a Ken Griffey Jr.-like slog through the second half of his career. The best-of-three series would not go in the Cardinals' favor, falling 2-0 to the eventual World Series participant. pre-2008 adjustment) | 39.5 Peak fWAR | 48.8 fJAWS, +0.3 fJAWS). Focusing on what hes better at: Scherzer is just 19 strikeouts away from 3,000 and should reach the milestone this month, surpassing the likes of Juan Marichal, Roy Halladay, and Bob Feller on the JAWS leaderboard. He's a hell of a pitcher and even better human being. He was traded to St. Louis in 2003 from the Braves in a deal that saw outfielder J.D. But compared to Molina or especially Pujols, Adam Wainwright is an underdog. This may not seem particularly grandiose, and probably not even close to Cooperstown worthiness, but it should be noted that with sixty-five elected, starting pitcher is far and away the most commonly enshrined position in the Hall (it has also, pre-bullpen expansion, been the most common position, so this shouldnt be too surprising). While Pujols and Molina are guaranteed to enter the Hall of Fame, Wainwright's case is a tricky one to say the least. . He threw two no-hitters in the same season and tied the major league record with 20 strikeouts in a nine-inning game. I try to stay out of it as much as possible.. There is a trio of starting pitchers not yet Hall-eligible who rank somewhere between Gooden and WainwrightFlix Hernndez, Cole Hamels, and Chris Sale. Will the games most enigmatic Hall of Fame candidate, a pending free agent this winter, stick around to get it? Guerrero had an RBI single during the first inning in his lone at-bat. His draft stock suggests he has the ability to be a top-tier pitcher, but as of now, hes not on a Cooperstown track. According to tracking done by Baseball Reference he faced mostly Double A hitters. A two-homer, two-walk game on Wednesday added half a win to whats now his seventh-best season (4.5 WAR); with a big finish, he can approach the peak standard (42.7 WAR). He, of course, can retract this, but as he is now in his 40s, Im inclined to believe hes serious. The Cardinals and starting pitching and injuries. What injury? Adam Parrish Wainwright was born on August 30, 1981, in Brunswick, Georgia. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Adam Wainwright, is probably not a Hall of Famer and his 36.7 JAWS likely shouldn't be used as the new . Its my belief that this as-yet-unnamed metric which Im hoping to formalize in time for the upcoming election cycle does a better job of emphasizing closers rather than starters-turned-relievers who racked up significant WAR in the rotations before making the move to roles more fireman-like than closer-like; it bumps the likes of Tom Gordon, Ellis Kinder, Bobby Shantz, and Kerry Wood down several pegs. It just was not the type of career that was worthy of the Hall of Fame. He trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, a grand slam in the first inning and a solo shot in the fourth. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onSt. Louis Cardinals and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. Even in the he falls short but not short enough to not make it hypothetical, the easiest path is likely for Adam Wainwright to post 8.1 WAR under both methods. After the divorce, his mother, Nancy, became a real estate agent and raised the boys on her own. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports. However, their overall record forced the Cards to play a Wild Card series against Bryce Harper and the Philadelphia Phillies. Adam Wainwright, however, is a little bit trickier. He has a $217 million contract with the Boston Red Sox, and to make the Hall of Fame, he may need another Cy Young award and a dominant performance in a World Series championship. . Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. The Hall of Stats was built by Adam Darowski, Jeffrey Chupp, and Michael Berkowitz.Follow the Hall of Stats on Twitter or Facebook.The Hall of Stats is open sourced on GitHub.All data is also open and available as a free download. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. The Cardinals trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, but St. Louis rallied to win its 12th straight, 8-5. It is possible that the same will be the case for a third Cardinals legend. 9 mo. He surpassed 200 wins in 2019 (hes at 219 now), but with his strikeout rate dipping from 24.5% last year to 17.0% this year, hes still 201 strikeouts away from 3,000 and will probably need two seasons to reach the milestone instead of one. St. Louis Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright joins Scott Braun, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, and AJ Pierzynski to talk about his final season and the legacy he's left behind. Moving to Adam Wainwright, the 40-year-old moved into second in pitching WAR (again, as calculated by Baseball Reference) last season, and that is where he will stay. But over the last three seasons, Jack has pitched only 154 innings. Enter your email address to get a new one. Hernandez also holds the distinction of having been the last MLB pitcher to throw a perfect game (2012). Were just giving him a little extra time in between appearances to rebound from his first time out. Sometimes a little spring-training soreness is nothing more than a little spring-training soreness. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. This will undoubtedly hurt Wainwright's bid for the Hall of Fame. If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. 177-110, 3.51 ERA, 2,272 strikeouts, 122 adjusted ERA. What's the Dodgers' plan at shortstop? He is known for being a Baseball Player. He has similar numbers (albeit slightly worse) than Roy Halladay. He had a 4.99 ERA in his last 11 starts in 2022 including a 7.22 ERA in his final six starts. . Yadier Molina, catcher (58.1 career fWAR (incl. The minute Adam Wainwright is eligible, he will easily cruise into the St. Louis Cardinals Hall of Fame, with the only possible road block being if he gets caught in the midst of a logjam with Albert Pujols and Yadier Molina (though if the Cardinals were ever going to make an exception and admit three people in one year, this would seemingly be the case). ago. The 35-year-old has a career record of 169-89 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 2,682 strikeouts. Sabathia has largely been a disappointment since signing a nine-figure extension with the team, and he likely wont be retained when his contract expires after this season. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. St. Louis Cardinals starting pitcher Adam Wainwright (50) sits in the dugout during the second inning of a baseball game between the Cardinals and the Pirates on Thursday, April, 7, 2022, at. Just want to take care of some minor inflammation after he ramped up his throwing and pitch counts. That's an average of 174 innings per year. He entered Thursday 16-7 on. For now, all eyes are on Flaherty and Wainwright. This adds up to a solid career, and one that would be worthy of the Hall of Very Good, but not the Hall of Fame. Hes pitched for five teams in two different leagues, which is unusual for a pitcher with such a successful resume. Ad Choices He was the MVP of the 2014 World Series after two dominant starts and then five scoreless innings off the bench in Game 7, and hes been a key contributor to three championship teams. This isnt your fathers Hall of Fame. No harm. Now his current difficulties are being downplayed because the leg/glute tightness, the back spasms, the finger. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. Adam Wainwright strikes out Chas McCormick swinging in the top of the 1st inning, one of his two strikeouts over three innings of work. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. His contract (seven years, $175 million) ensures he will pitch in Seattle at least through 2019, but his velocity numbers and declining ERA suggest his career may be on the downside. Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. While it seems impossible to envision it now, Wainwright was not always a member of the St. Louis Cardinals. Even though three different physical problems were cited to explain Wainwrights plummeting velocity and ineffective pitching? If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. Of course, Wainwright and the Cardinals gave it the nothing to see here treatment. At least hes in better shape than 31-year-old Freddie Freeman (41.8/32.1/37.0, +1.5 JAWS), who only recently surpassed last years 3.3 WAR. In that piece, I highlighted 10 position players, some of whom have gained significant ground via JAWS, others who reached major milestones or simply returned to productivity after injury-plagued stretches. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. Flaherty is calm. He probably wont gain much more ground this year even assuming he does return, and as with the pitchers on either side of him in this list, free agency looms, though it seems unthinkable the Dodgers will let him depart. Fantasy baseball: Which prospects have fantasy value in 2023? Enter your email below and we'll send you another email. . Hes racked up four seasons worth 67 WAR, plus a fifth at 5.7 and a sixth at 4.9; to improve that peak score substantially, he needs big seasons. The two-time NL Cy Young winner began his season by reeling off one of the most amazing runs of any pitcher in recent memory, posting an 0.50 ERA and 0.87 FIP through his first 12 starts. Write some stories about it! Wainwright said. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. The Hall of Fame should immortalize the greatest starting pitchers of each era. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals' visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004. Its available on your preferred podcast platform. Greinke has won an ERA title in each league. But in evaluating Wainwright by the standards of the modern starting pitchers, he has a path albeit a narrow one that requires him to sustain his late-30s rebirth for at least one and possibly two more seasons that seemed impossible when he was in the midst of an extended sunset phase late in the 2010s. (approx 1 - 2 per week). Injury? All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Albert Pujols is, barring something unforseen, going to easily sail into the National Baseball Hall of FameI always feel the need to add a caveat since uncodified steroid accusations have already kept one of the few modern hitters unreservedly superior to Pujols out of the Hall of Fame, though seeing David Ortiz make it does give me hope that Albert Pujols being a nice guy that everyone in baseball media seems to like would provide sufficient cushion to whatever random conjecture somebody wants to throw out into the discourse. Sale went two years and a day between major league outings due to elbow inflammation, a flexor tendon strain, and Tommy John surgery, but hes made a solid return so far, with a 2.53 ERA and 27.9% strikeout rate through four starts. Once Molina has been. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. This year he was so good that he accrued 5.1 WAR (including 0.6 on the offensive side) in his 15 starts before going down, his fourth-highest total. But Adam Wainwright's story also isn't complete. After nearly two seasons in the wilderness, he regained his dominant form with the Cubs, and while hes scuffled since being traded to the White Sox while pitching in a setup role in front of Liam Hendriks, his 2.02 ERA, 2.24 FIP, and 43.2% strikeout rate make this his best season since 2017 and put him in line for another substantial free-agent payday if the White Sox decline his $16 million club option. I suppose well get an update after Wainwright returns to camp after competing for Team USA in the World Baseball Classic. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. While best known for his voice as the lead sports columnist at the Post-Dispatch for 26 years, Bernie has also written for The Athletic, Dallas Morning News and Baltimore News American.

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